Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.3#43
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#33
Pace57.0#336
Improvement+5.3#9

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#44
Improvement+1.3#113

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#44
Improvement+4.1#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 8.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round97.6% n/a n/a
Second Round45.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.0% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 190   Lehigh W 70-56 91%     1 - 0 +9.4 -2.2 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2010 183   Saint Joseph's W 66-57 91%     2 - 0 +4.7 -2.8 -1.1
  Nov 19, 2010 102   Fairfield W 64-49 82%     3 - 0 +15.8 +0.4 +1.1
  Nov 22, 2010 163   Central Connecticut St. W 77-61 89%     4 - 0 +12.9 -1.1 -1.2
  Nov 26, 2010 76   @ Mississippi L 71-84 53%     4 - 1 -3.3 +5.1 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2010 151   Furman W 70-49 87%     5 - 1 +18.9 -0.5 -0.4
  Dec 01, 2010 38   Maryland L 39-62 60%     5 - 2 -15.1 +2.5 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2010 53   Duquesne W 77-73 66%     6 - 2 +10.1 +3.2 +3.1
  Dec 07, 2010 252   Mount St. Mary's W 57-53 95%     7 - 2 -4.8 -4.6 -3.9
  Dec 12, 2010 33   @ Virginia Tech L 69-79 32%     7 - 3 +5.1 +7.7 +6.9
  Dec 21, 2010 223   Maine L 64-74 93%     7 - 4 -16.3 -3.5 -3.3
  Dec 27, 2010 81   @ Indiana W 69-60 54%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +18.2 +5.0 +4.7
  Jan 02, 2011 36   @ Michigan L 69-76 35%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +7.4 +7.5 +6.5
  Jan 05, 2011 6   Purdue L 68-83 35%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -0.8 +6.7 +6.9
  Jan 08, 2011 42   Michigan St. W 66-62 61%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +11.5 +3.9 +3.9
  Jan 11, 2011 20   Illinois W 57-55 51%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +12.2 +4.8 +5.5
  Jan 15, 2011 1   @ Ohio St. L 66-69 10%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +21.6 +12.4 +12.0
  Jan 19, 2011 6   @ Purdue L 62-63 17%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +19.5 +10.5 +10.0
  Jan 26, 2011 85   Iowa W 65-51 78%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +16.1 +1.3 +1.5
  Jan 29, 2011 9   Wisconsin W 56-52 39%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +17.3 +6.5 +7.1
  Feb 01, 2011 20   @ Illinois L 51-68 27%     12 - 9 5 - 5 -0.4 +7.7 +7.9
  Feb 06, 2011 36   Michigan L 62-65 59%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +5.1 +4.4 +3.5
  Feb 10, 2011 42   @ Michigan St. L 57-75 37%     12 - 11 5 - 7 -4.1 +6.8 +6.2
  Feb 13, 2011 55   Northwestern W 65-41 67%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +29.8 +2.9 +4.2
  Feb 17, 2011 57   Minnesota W 66-63 67%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +8.8 +3.1 +2.8
  Feb 20, 2011 9   @ Wisconsin L 66-76 19%     14 - 12 7 - 8 +9.7 +10.0 +9.1
  Feb 24, 2011 55   @ Northwestern W 66-52 43%     15 - 12 8 - 8 +26.1 +6.1 +6.7
  Mar 01, 2011 1   Ohio St. L 61-82 23%     15 - 13 8 - 9 -2.8 +8.7 +8.5
  Mar 06, 2011 57   @ Minnesota W 66-63 43%     16 - 13 9 - 9 +15.1 +6.1 +6.2
  Mar 10, 2011 81   Indiana W 61-55 66%     17 - 13 +12.0 +3.0 +3.3
  Mar 11, 2011 9   Wisconsin W 36-33 28%     18 - 13 +19.5 +7.2 +9.5
  Mar 12, 2011 42   Michigan St. W 61-48 49%     19 - 13 +23.7 +5.5 +6.0
  Mar 13, 2011 1   Ohio St. L 60-71 15%     19 - 14 +10.4 +10.3 +10.5
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 97.6% 97.6% 8.0 0.5 7.6 23.0 36.7 24.3 5.2 0.3 0.0 2.4 97.6%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.6% 0.0% 97.6% 8.0 0.5 7.6 23.0 36.7 24.3 5.2 0.3 0.0 2.4 97.6%